BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Abilene Christian

Class: 1B Class Rank: 42 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =  131.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L   129.63  27  55   1A  69 (  6-  6) Baylor                 -1.87    -26.13                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   130.55  41  24    2  27 (  6-  6) Angelo St              -0.95     17.95                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    W * 136.39  38  13   1B 108 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist         4.89     20.11                      
  4 09/22/2018 Away    L * 117.35  21  24   1B  84 (  2-  8) Stephen F. Austin     -14.14     11.14                      
  5 09/29/2018 Home    L * 119.95  34  44   1B  41 (  6-  5) Incarnate Word        -11.55      1.55                      
  6 10/06/2018 Away    L * 125.40  21  24   1B  60 (  6-  5) McNeese St             -6.10      3.10                      
  7 10/13/2018 Home    W * 156.21  28  12   1B  12 (  9-  4) Nicholls St            24.71     -8.71                      
  8 10/20/2018 Away    W * 148.80  48  27   1B  67 (  4-  7) SE Louisiana           17.30      3.70                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    W * 123.71  49  47   1B  65 (  5-  6) Northwestern St        -7.79      9.79                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    W * 138.45  17  10   1B  50 (  6-  5) Sam Houston St          6.95      0.05                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    L * 120.05   7  16   1B  43 (  6-  5) Central Arkansas      -11.45      2.45                      
      Averages             131.50  30.1 26.9

Best game:  156.21 = 16 point win over Nicholls St
Worst game: 117.35 = 3 point loss to Stephen F. Austin
Team stdev:  12.45